Gabon vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GAB
1 - 0
LBY
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 3
GAB
17%
22%
62%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
GAB
1 - 0
MLI
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
LSO
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 2
KEN
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
RSA
0 - 1
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ZIM
0 - 0
GUI
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
29%
28%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
4 - 0
NAM
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |