Gabon vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
1 - 0
CGO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
4 - 0
CYM
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
GAB
1 - 1
NGA
25%
30%
45%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GAB
2 - 0
BEN
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 3
GAB
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 0
EQG
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 0
CHA
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 1
ANG
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALG
9%
24%
67%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
NAM
2 - 1
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |