Gabon vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
CTA
2 - 0
GAB
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 11 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1989 |
GAB
2 - 0
CMR
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
MOZ
0 - 1
GAB
43%
25%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1989 |
MWI
2 - 0
GAB
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
CMR
0 - 0
CHA
88%
10%
2%
|
16 | 79 | 63 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
CTA
1 - 1
CHA
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1988 |
CTA
2 - 1
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
CGO
2 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | 0 |