Gabon vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BDI
0 - 0
GAB
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
GAB
4 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ALG
4 - 3
GAB
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GAB
2 - 0
SLE
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAB
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
ALG
4 - 3
BFA
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
BFA
1 - 0
BEN
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CTA
0 - 3
BFA
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 19 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BFA
3 - 0
CGO
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BFA
4 - 0
MOZ
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |