Gabon vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 2
EQG
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
CGO
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BFA
0 - 2
GAB
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 2
MLI
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 0
GAB
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
MLI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
MLI
69%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 1
CMR
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
0 - 3
RSA
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 2
MLI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |