Gabon vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 3
GAB
17%
22%
62%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
GAB
1 - 0
MLI
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
LSO
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
GHA
22%
26%
53%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
LBY
1 - 0
GHA
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
6 - 2
NIG
69%
18%
12%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
3 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
0 - 0
SEN
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 0
LSO
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |