Gabon vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 0
NIG
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 1
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
GAB
0 - 1
GAM
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 1
UGA
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 2
ALG
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
EQG
3 - 0
CTA
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 13 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BFA
1 - 0
EQG
69%
18%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 4
GNB
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 0
GAM
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |