Gabon vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 1
UGA
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 2
ALG
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SEN
2 - 1
GAB
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
KSA
1 - 0
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 0
GAM
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GNB
3 - 1
GAM
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BFA
3 - 1
GAM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
3 - 1
NAM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MEX
5 - 1
GAM
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | -1 |