Gabon vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
LBN
0 - 0
GAB
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 2
POR
10%
21%
70%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOG
2 - 1
GAB
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
CGO
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
UGA
4 - 0
CGO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CGO
1 - 0
NIG
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |