Gabon vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
14%
19%
67%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 1
GAB
32%
24%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
6 - 0
GAB
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIV
5 - 0
GAB
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
4 - 1
LIE
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 1
MLI
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | +1 |