Gabon vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
2 - 3
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
1 - 0
CGO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
4 - 0
CYM
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
GAB
1 - 1
NGA
25%
30%
45%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GAB
2 - 0
BEN
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
1 - 0
CGO
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CGO
1 - 0
CYM
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CGO
2 - 3
ZAM
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 0
CGO
35%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |