Gabon vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
GAB
2 - 3
COD
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
GAB
0 - 2
COD
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
GAB
0 - 2
CGO
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
GAB
0 - 0
COD
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
GAB
1 - 3
ALG
25%
30%
46%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
GAB
0 - 2
CGO
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2000 |
TUN
1 - 0
CGO
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2000 |
NGA
0 - 0
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
CGO
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
CGO
0 - 1
COD
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |