Gabon vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
MLI
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
GAB
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 2
GAB
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 3
CIV
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
71%
21%
8%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
RSA
13%
22%
65%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
68%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
MTN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |