France vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.3%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17%
6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ROU
2 - 2
FRA
29%
27%
44%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 1
SRB
78%
16%
6%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
AUT
3 - 1
FRA
16%
25%
59%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 3
FRA
23%
27%
50%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2008 |
FRA
0 - 2
ITA
54%
23%
22%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUN
5 - 0
SYC
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BFA
0 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
49%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 1
ANG
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TUN
2 - 1
BDI
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
BDI
0 - 1
TUN
15%
26%
59%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |