France vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 0
FRA
9%
19%
72%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
DNK
64%
20%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
4 - 1
AUS
74%
16%
10%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DNK
2 - 0
FRA
26%
25%
49%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
AUT
78%
14%
8%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
ARG
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
SAU
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
CHL
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |