France vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 0
ECU
78%
16%
6%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 0
ENG
56%
25%
19%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
FRA
43%
27%
30%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
UKR
2 - 2
FRA
15%
25%
60%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 2
MAR
79%
16%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2008 |
JPN
0 - 0
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
RSA
3 - 0
PAR
23%
29%
47%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
HND
2 - 0
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 3
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
5 - 1
ECU
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |