France vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1996 |
ROU
0 - 1
FRA
36%
27%
37%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
ARM
95%
4%
1%
|
95 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
GER
0 - 1
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
BEL
0 - 2
FRA
32%
29%
40%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
ESP
1 - 1
BGR
70%
19%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
NOR
0 - 0
ESP
25%
27%
48%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
ESP
1 - 0
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
ESP
3 - 0
MKD
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
DEN
1 - 1
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |