Finland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
FIN
0 - 2
NED
12%
20%
69%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
LTU
2 - 2
FIN
12%
20%
67%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
MLT
0 - 1
FIN
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 2
GRC
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
IRL
1 - 0
FIN
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
POL
2 - 0
MDA
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
POL
2 - 0
MLT
86%
11%
4%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
POL
1 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
SCO
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
POL
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |