Fiji Islands vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
SGP
2 - 0
FIJ
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
FIJ
1 - 1
SOL
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 0
FIJ
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
PHL
3 - 2
FIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 0
FIJ
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NCL
1 - 1
EST
7%
13%
80%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NCL
2 - 1
FIJ
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FIJ
2 - 2
NCL
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NCL
0 - 0
NZL
14%
20%
65%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NZL
2 - 0
NCL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |