Estonia vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
EST
1 - 3
ISR
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
2 - 3
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ISR
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SVK
1 - 0
EST
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AZE
0 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
ITA
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ISR
2 - 4
NOR
30%
23%
47%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
0 - 5
NOR
10%
19%
72%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NOR
5 - 0
KAZ
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 4
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |