United States vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CRC
2 - 0
USA
20%
25%
55%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
USA
5 - 1
PAN
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
USA
46%
26%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
HND
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 3
URU
42%
26%
33%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
URU
39%
25%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
URU
4 - 1
VEN
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
23%
24%
52%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |