United States vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
CUB
0 - 2
USA
9%
20%
71%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
USA
4 - 0
TTO
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
VCT
0 - 6
USA
11%
21%
68%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 4
ARG
21%
23%
57%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 2
MEX
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
0 - 0
PNG
80%
15%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
NCL
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
SOL
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 5
NZL
10%
18%
73%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |