United States vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
USA
4 - 0
CRC
55%
23%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
USA
4 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
ECU
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
ECU
4 - 0
HTI
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
ECU
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |