Spain vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 1
POR
68%
21%
12%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
ROU
2 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
56%
25%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
24%
16%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
ESP
5 - 0
CYP
92%
6%
2%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
YUG
4 - 2
ARG
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
YUG
4 - 1
ITA
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
CYP
0 - 3
YUG
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
YUG
4 - 1
GRC
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
3 - 2
YUG
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |