Spain vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 1
ESP
6%
14%
80%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
RUS
84%
12%
5%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
4 - 0
AND
96%
4%
0%
|
98 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
BOL
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
PER
3 - 1
VEN
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
0 - 1
COL
12%
21%
66%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
PER
0 - 0
VEN
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
VEN
0 - 1
CHI
33%
26%
40%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |