Spain vs Uruguay analysis

Spain Uruguay
92 ELO 89
-0.5% Tilt 3.3%
20º General ELO ranking 59º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.2%
Spain
22.1%
Draw
12.7%
Uruguay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Spain
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.7%
Win probability
Uruguay
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Spain
Uruguay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spain
Spain
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 1991
ESP
Spain
0 - 2
Romania
ROU
66%
21%
13%
92 87 5 0
27 Mar. 1991
ESP
Spain
2 - 4
Hungary
HUN
63%
22%
15%
92 89 3 0
20 Feb. 1991
FRA
France
3 - 1
Spain
ESP
49%
27%
24%
92 93 1 0
16 Jan. 1991
ESP
Spain
1 - 1
Portugal
POR
71%
20%
10%
92 87 5 0
19 Dec. 1990
ESP
Spain
9 - 0
Albania
ALB
94%
5%
1%
92 65 27 0

Matches

Uruguay
Uruguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 1991
URU
Uruguay
1 - 0
Colombia
COL
63%
24%
14%
89 85 4 0
11 Jul. 1991
BRA
Brazil
1 - 1
Uruguay
URU
73%
18%
9%
89 95 6 0
09 Jul. 1991
URU
Uruguay
1 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
71%
20%
9%
89 75 14 0
07 Jul. 1991
URU
Uruguay
1 - 1
Bolivia
BOL
70%
20%
10%
89 71 18 0
26 Jun. 1991
URU
Uruguay
2 - 1
Chile
CHI
59%
25%
16%
89 86 3 0