Spain vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
ESP
0 - 2
ROU
66%
21%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 4
HUN
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
FRA
3 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1991 |
ESP
1 - 1
POR
71%
20%
10%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1990 |
ESP
9 - 0
ALB
94%
5%
1%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 1
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1991 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |