Spain vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
47%
21%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
SCO
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
ROU
1 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1966 |
ISR
1 - 2
URU
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
URU
1 - 3
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |