Spain vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
43%
23%
35%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
5 - 0
ROU
82%
12%
6%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
7 - 0
MLT
92%
7%
2%
|
95 | 48 | 47 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
16%
21%
63%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UKR
2 - 1
SUI
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SRB
2 - 2
UKR
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
UKR
1 - 0
EST
75%
18%
8%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
UKR
2 - 1
POR
24%
26%
51%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
UKR
2 - 0
LTU
75%
18%
8%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | +1 |