Spain vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
SUI
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 1
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
49%
22%
28%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
RUS
3 - 3
ESP
17%
22%
61%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ESP
5 - 0
CRC
81%
13%
5%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
TUN
2 - 2
TUR
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
TUN
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 0
CRC
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 0
IRN
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 0
LBY
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |