Spain vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.9%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
13%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
17.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.9%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7.5%
1.6%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 0
UKR
91%
8%
2%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 2
ESP
22%
26%
51%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 0
EGY
78%
16%
6%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 0
RUS
74%
17%
9%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 2
CIV
81%
14%
5%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 2
KSA
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 0
URU
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
TUN
3 - 0
BLR
60%
24%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 1
SCG
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NGA
1 - 1
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |