Spain vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 1
ROU
66%
20%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
ESP
3 - 1
FRO
95%
4%
1%
|
96 | 59 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
SVK
1 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
72%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 0
CZE
90%
8%
3%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
JAM
0 - 0
SWE
13%
25%
63%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
USA
1 - 0
SWE
25%
26%
49%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
SWE
1 - 0
EST
94%
5%
1%
|
93 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
SWE
1 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
32%
27%
41%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |