Spain vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
USA
69%
20%
11%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 1
PER
79%
15%
6%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
51%
26%
23%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
FRA
43%
27%
30%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
NIR
81%
15%
5%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
LTU
1 - 4
RUS
16%
25%
59%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
RUS
2 - 1
SRB
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
RUS
6 - 0
KAZ
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ROU
3 - 0
RUS
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
AND
0 - 1
RUS
9%
19%
72%
|
91 | 52 | 39 | 0 |