Spain vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
4 - 0
AND
96%
4%
0%
|
98 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
DEN
67%
20%
13%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
55%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 0
RUS
45%
25%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 2
RUS
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
BGR
2 - 2
RUS
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 1
RUS
30%
27%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
RUS
0 - 0
WAL
62%
22%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |