Spain vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 2
KSA
77%
17%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
AUT
1 - 5
ESP
14%
21%
66%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
58%
24%
19%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 5
ESP
11%
20%
69%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
KOR
0 - 1
BLR
63%
23%
14%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 2
KOR
47%
26%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
KOR
2 - 0
ECU
49%
28%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CIV
0 - 2
KOR
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 3
KOR
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |