Spain vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
KOR
73%
18%
9%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 2
KSA
77%
17%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
AUT
1 - 5
ESP
14%
21%
66%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
58%
24%
19%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
SRB
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POL
2 - 0
BGR
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
POL
6 - 1
SGP
78%
15%
6%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
THA
1 - 3
POL
25%
25%
51%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |