Spain vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 2
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 0
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 0
ISR
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ESP
8 - 0
CYP
86%
11%
4%
|
97 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
AUT
1 - 3
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
SWE
2 - 0
POL
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
POL
0 - 0
ENG
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
POL
5 - 4
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
LUX
2 - 3
POL
10%
18%
72%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |