Spain vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
51%
26%
23%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
FRA
43%
27%
30%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
NIR
81%
15%
5%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
SWE
65%
21%
14%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 0
ESP
15%
23%
63%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
PER
3 - 1
CRC
48%
26%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 1
PER
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ECU
5 - 1
PER
53%
26%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |