Spain vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 0
NIR
83%
13%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
GRC
0 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
HUN
1 - 1
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
KOR
81%
13%
7%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 1
IRL
78%
14%
8%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
IRN
1 - 1
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
SVN
1 - 3
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |