Spain vs Paraguay analysis

Spain Paraguay
98 ELO 91
-0.4% Tilt 7.6%
20º General ELO ranking 200º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
75.1%
Spain
16.7%
Draw
8.1%
Paraguay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
Spain
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.1%
Win probability
Paraguay
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Spain
Paraguay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spain
Spain
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2002
ESP
Spain
3 - 0
Northern Ireland
NIR
83%
13%
4%
98 86 12 0
07 Sep. 2002
GRC
Greece
0 - 2
Spain
ESP
21%
23%
56%
98 89 9 0
21 Aug. 2002
HUN
Hungary
1 - 1
Spain
ESP
18%
22%
60%
98 87 11 0
22 Jun. 2002
ESP
Spain
0 - 0
South Korea
KOR
81%
13%
7%
98 91 7 0
16 Jun. 2002
ESP
Spain
1 - 1
Ireland
IRL
78%
14%
8%
98 93 5 0

Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2002
IRN
Iran
1 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
38%
27%
35%
91 88 3 0
21 Aug. 2002
BRA
Brazil
0 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
83%
12%
5%
90 99 9 +1
15 Jun. 2002
GER
Germany
1 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
81%
12%
7%
90 95 5 0
12 Jun. 2002
SVN
Slovenia
1 - 3
Paraguay
PAR
19%
23%
58%
90 84 6 0
07 Jun. 2002
ESP
Spain
3 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
83%
12%
5%
90 98 8 0