Spain vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
SVN
92%
7%
2%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
NIR
0 - 5
ESP
15%
22%
64%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
NED
1 - 0
ESP
46%
25%
29%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
MEX
77%
16%
8%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
RSA
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
SWE
1 - 2
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
ENG
4 - 0
PAR
69%
21%
11%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
NGA
1 - 1
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
BOL
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |