Spain vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
2 - 3
NGA
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
4 - 1
NIR
80%
15%
5%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
ESP
4 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 1
ROU
66%
20%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1998 |
PAR
0 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
3 - 2
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1998 |
NED
5 - 1
PAR
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1998 |
CZE
1 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |