Spain vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
HRV
3 - 2
ESP
22%
23%
55%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 3
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
WLS
1 - 4
ESP
10%
19%
71%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 0
HRV
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
CYP
0 - 2
NOR
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SVN
1 - 1
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
BGR
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
SVN
57%
25%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BGR
1 - 0
NOR
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |