Spain vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
UKR
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
POR
0 - 3
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 0
ESP
13%
21%
66%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ESP
0 - 1
GRC
79%
15%
6%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 41 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BIH
1 - 0
NOR
15%
23%
62%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |