Spain vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
LUX
0 - 1
ESP
10%
20%
70%
|
98 | 44 | 54 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
32%
27%
42%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ITA
57%
25%
19%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
NOR
1 - 0
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
NOR
2 - 0
SVK
88%
9%
3%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
NOR
0 - 2
BEL
53%
25%
23%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
SUI
2 - 2
NOR
32%
28%
40%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
TUR
0 - 2
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |