Spain vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
ESP
3 - 0
MKD
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
DEN
1 - 1
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
54%
25%
22%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ESP
6 - 0
CYP
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARM
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
TTO
3 - 2
NOR
27%
29%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
JAM
1 - 1
NOR
21%
30%
49%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
NOR
0 - 0
ENG
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
CZE
2 - 0
NOR
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |