Spain vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
17%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
18%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
2%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
ESP
7%
17%
77%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
8 - 0
LIE
91%
8%
1%
|
95 | 30 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
58%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
2 - 3
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 2
ISR
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
MKD
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 3
IRN
23%
26%
52%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MKD
3 - 1
AZE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |