Spain vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
9.8%
2.2%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
25%
24%
51%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
0 - 3
ESP
6%
13%
81%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
10%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 5
NED
55%
22%
23%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
0 - 2
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
97 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
0 - 0
MKD
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
2 - 0
MKD
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
QAT
0 - 0
MKD
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
MKD
0 - 2
CMR
32%
27%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MKD
2 - 1
LVA
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |