Spain vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.9%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
10.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12%
4-0
14.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.3%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.9%
1.1%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
DEN
1 - 1
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
54%
25%
22%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ESP
6 - 0
CYP
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARM
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
ARM
0 - 2
ESP
8%
19%
73%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
CYP
1 - 1
MKD
39%
25%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
MKD
1 - 2
ARM
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
TUR
2 - 1
MKD
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
MKD
0 - 5
BEL
16%
24%
59%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1995 |
ARM
2 - 2
MKD
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |