Spain vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
AUT
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1981 |
BRA
1 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 1
ESP
36%
29%
36%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
25%
29%
47%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1981 |
VEN
0 - 2
ESP
25%
27%
49%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1981 |
LUX
1 - 2
DEN
26%
28%
47%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
LUX
0 - 2
GRC
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
DEN
4 - 0
LUX
85%
10%
4%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 2
ITA
15%
24%
61%
|
44 | 92 | 48 | 0 |