Spain vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
14.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17%
3-0
18%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.6%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.4%
0.9%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 1
XXK
96%
3%
0%
|
95 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 2
ESP
1%
10%
89%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
GRC
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
6 - 0
GER
49%
22%
30%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
LVA
3 - 1
LTU
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 1
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 2
ITA
2%
13%
85%
|
60 | 92 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SUI
1 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
XXK
4 - 0
LTU
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |