Spain vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
4%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
SCG
0 - 0
ESP
7%
17%
77%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHN
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ESP
5 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
98 | 45 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
55%
24%
21%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
67%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
LTU
2 - 0
LVA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
BIH
1 - 1
LTU
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GEO
1 - 0
LTU
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
SMR
0 - 1
LTU
12%
18%
70%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
67%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |